Home >  Blog >  The continued decline in Austrlaian housing sales, in one chart

The continued decline in Austrlaian housing sales, in one chart

Posted on 8 August 2018

If the chart below is anything to go by, times are getting tougher for any individual, business or government that relies upon turnover in Australia's housing market.

From CoreLogic, it shows the amount of settled housing transactions in Australia on a six-month moving average basis.


For clarity, CoreLogic says off-the-plan sales are not counted until completion, meaning there will be some upwards revision to recent sales volumes given the high volume of units currently under construction across the country.

Right now, and largely reflecting the housing market slowdown seen in Sydney and Melbourne over the past 12 months, not only are transaction volumes below the average seen over the past decade, they're also moving back towards levels last seen during the global financial crisis.

"Nationally, 465,788 settled house and unit sales transacted over the 12 months to May 2018 with the annual number of settled sales 7.7 per cent lower over the year," says Cameron Kusher, research analyst at CoreLogic.

"The monthly data points to a declining trend in transactions with settled sales now sitting lower than the decade average."


Explaining the decline in the national measure, CoreLogic says settled transactions fell heavily in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane Australia's largest housing markets compared to the levels seen in the year to May 2017.

Over the past year, settled sales fell by 13.5 per cent in Sydney, 12.9 per cent in Melbourne and 12.1 per cent in Brisbane.

They also slid by 7.4 per cent in Hobart and 10 per cent in Darwin over the year compared to the prior 12 months.

Only Adelaide and Perth, at 2.5 per cent and 1 per cent respectively, saw sales increase from 12 months earlier.

Given the likelihood the recent Sydney and Melbourne-led national price downturn will continue in the period ahead, Kusher say settled sales will probably fall further, creating challenging market conditions for those reliant upon turnover in the housing market.

"With dwelling values now falling and tighter credit conditions it is reasonable to anticipate that transaction volumes will continue to trend lower," he says.

"Fewer sales means less turnover, which means less commission and less stamp duty revenue for state governments."

We guarantee that any advice you receive from Leeson Valuers is totally independent. We have no association with any Real Estate Agents or Developers.

This means that you get the 'real' valuation of your real estate with no hidden agendas.


652 Ipswich Road, Annerley,
Queensland, Australia, 4103